Page 111 - _21-0619 OK
P. 111

The International Journal of the Royal Society of Thailand
                                                                                         Volume XII, 2020



                        Using weighted-average prices in Table 3 for private farm land and 'built'
                land respectively we can proceed to estimate the total value of private land in each
                category. Table 4 shows the resulting total area, price and value of private land.

                The calculation for 1960 in this table relies on statistics of the area and valuation
                of newly mortgaged farm land, orchards and 'sites' published in the Statistical
                Yearbook of Thailand for 1964, and assumes that the figures for mortgage
                valuations – averaging 800 Baht per rai for farm land and orchards and 60,000
                Baht per rai for 'sites' – give a reasonable indication of prices of registered private
                land at that time.

                        Table 4 implies that the total value of private land has increased from
                around 200 billion Baht in 1960 to over 30 trillion Baht in 2018. The value of
                farm land has increased the most both because farms account for a larger share
                of the total registered area  and because price  per rai of  'vacant' land has
                increased more spectacularly than the price of built land ('sites'). Allowing for
                inflation of prices in general, the average price of registered farm land in 1960
                was 5,000-10,000 Baht per rai in today's money while according to the statistics
                of mortgage valuations the price of built land was as much as 500,000 Baht
                or more per rai in today's money.


                Table 4  Area, average price and value of private land, 1960 and 2018

                                                area                price               value

                        land use             million rai      million Baht / rai     trillion Baht

                                           1960      2018      1960      2018       1960      2018

                 Farm                         20.4     113.6     0.001     0.165      0.02     18.79
                 Built                         3.0      11.4     0.060     1.277      0.18     14.55

                 waste, quarries, water                  3.6     0.001     0.331      0.00       1.19

                         Total                23.4     128.6     0.009     0.268      0.20     34.53

                Sources: Tables 2 and 3 and author's calculations of average price from Statistical Yearbook of
                Thailand (1965) table 96.











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                    Francis Cripps



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       _21-0619(085-112)6.indd   103                                                               5/1/2565 BE   09:03
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