สำนักราชบัณฑิตยสภา

The Journal of the Royal Institute of Thailand ·π«‚πâ ¡ºŸâ Ÿ ßÕ“¬ÿ „πª√–‡∑»‰∑¬ Vol. 32 No. 1 Jan.-Mar. 2007 86 Abstract Trend of Old Population in Thailand Numpawon Kitrackool Associate Professor of Geography, Department of Geography, Faculty of Arts, Silpakorn University The focused population of this study is the old population of 60 years old and above, both males and females. Compared with the entire population of the country, the increase in this population group is rapid, resulted from the change in fertility causing the decrease in the young population. Sustantial and widespread developments in science, technology, and medicine and accessible health services contribute to the population’s declining death rate and longer life. In 1929, the lifespans of the males and females were 31.6 and 37.5 years, respectively. Since then, the population’s lifespan has gradually risen. In 2006, the male’s lifespan was 69 years, and the female’s was 76 years. The longer lifespan suggests the higher number of old population. In 2005, the old population rose to about 10.15%. It is predicted that in the next 25 years or in 2030, the old population will rise to 20% of the entire national popula- tion or 15 million people. The gradual increase of the old population in Thailand is a new phenomenon. Without preparation and planning, problems are likely inevitable. Key words : fertility, lifespan »— æ∑å gerontology æƒ≤«‘ ∑¬“ §≥–°√√¡°“√®— ¥∑”æ®π“πÿ °√¡»— æ∑å — ߧ¡«‘ ∑¬“ ‰¥â ∫— ≠≠— µ‘ »— æ∑å ·≈–„Àâ §«“¡À¡“¬»— æ∑å gerontology ‰«â ¥— ßπ’È gerontology æƒ≤«‘ ∑¬“ : «‘ ™“∑’Ë ¡’ ≈— °…≥–‡ªì π À«‘ ∑¬“ °“√»÷ °…“‡°’Ë ¬«°— ∫ºŸâ Ÿ ßÕ“¬ÿ °√–∫«π°“√ ·≈–º≈¢Õß°“√∑’Ë ª√–™“°√¡’ Õ“¬ÿ Ÿ ߢ÷È π «‘ ™“π’È ‰¥â √— ∫§«“¡ π„®‡æ‘Ë ¡¢÷È π ‡π◊Ë Õß®“°ª√–™“°√¡’ Õ“¬ÿ ¬◊ 𬓫 ¢÷È π„π¢≥–∑’Ë ¿“«–‡®√‘ ≠æ— π∏ÿå ≈¥µË ”≈ß ´÷Ë ß∑”„Àâ — ¥ à «π¢Õߪ√–™“°√ Ÿ ßÕ“¬ÿ „π — ß§¡µà “ß Ê ‡æ‘Ë ¡¢÷È π Õ¬à “ß¡“° „π∑“ß — ߧ¡«‘ ∑¬“ ¡’ «‘ ™“æƒ≤«‘ ∑¬“ — ߧ¡ (social gerontology) ·≈– — ߧ¡«‘ ∑¬“°“√ Ÿ ßÕ“¬ÿ (sociology of ageing) ´÷Ë ß¡ÿà ß»÷ °…“·≈–«‘ ‡§√“–Àå Õ“¬ÿ „π∞“π–∑’Ë ‡ªì πª√–‡¿∑∑“ß — ߧ¡ (social category) √«¡∂÷ ß»÷ °…“º≈°√–∑∫¢Õß‚§√ß √â “ß∑“ß — ߧ¡∑’Ë ¡’ µà Õ°√–∫«π°“√∑’Ë ª√–™“°√¡’ Õ“¬ÿ Ÿ ߢ÷È π ∑’Ë ¡“ : æ®π“πÿ °√¡»— æ∑å — ߧ¡«‘ ∑¬“ Õ— ß°ƒ…-‰∑¬ ©∫— ∫√“™∫— ≥±‘ µ¬ ∂“π. °√ÿ ߇∑æœ : À®°. ‰Õ‡¥’ ¬ ·§«√å , ÚıÙ˘, Àπâ “ ÒÛˆ.